Randomly Selected Chart Predictions

This game is just like Chart Predictions, but you do not choose your predictions, they are chosen for you randomly. On Sundays (after the top 100 is published) a blog post "Randomly Selected Chart Predictions (dd/mm/yyyy)" will be created by Hotchoc26. I will first write down my predictions. You have to use the Random Number Generator for each position of the current top 100 for what position outcome it will be the next week, and to match as many as possible.

The random number is picked out of a maximum of 100, where numbers 1-100 represent the new position of each single. After a song position is placed, another song cannot be on that position, so the generator must be set to not repeat numbers, or if you can't do that, when you get a number you already have predicted, you must get another number until you get a position that is available.

This game is restricted to not allow dropouts, new or re-entries. This makes it so much harder to get a correct match! Each position away from a correct match is minus 5 off 300, where a correct match is 500. Any singles that have dropped out are considered a dropout to 101, so a song dropping out from 37 when predicted to go to 89 is 300-60(12x5) which is 240 points. Dropouts also take away an extra 50 points, so if your predictions include 7 songs that end up dropping out, the total score for this example week is taken away by 350.

You also have to predict the song which you think will have the closest match, and the song with the furthest match. Getting any of these correct awards the player 100 points. After the top 100 is published on Sunday, the results will be revealed, and the user (or administrator) with the biggest score will win!

Note: Comments posted after 6:00pm on Sunday will NOT be counted.

Scoring and Template

Template

#	Single	Outcome	Pos. out	Points
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
5
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
92
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
Total score

Predicted closest match: [Single] - [Artist] ([prev. week] to [pred. week])

Predicted furthest match:  [Single] - [Artist] ([prev. week] to [pred. week])

Zero pointers: (this is the number of songs which scored 0)

Dropouts:

Furthest dropout: (the biggest fall for a dropout)

Closest dropout: (smallest dropout fall)

Score Table (for positions out)

A correct match is worth 500 points, and the most positions out which awards points is 59 (5 points). Any dropouts are considered to drop to 101, and the total score is affected by the number of dropouts there was on that week, where each dropout is minus 50 points.

Pos. out	Score
0	500
1	295
2	290
3	285
4	280
5	275
6	270
7	265
8	260
9	255
10	250
11	245
12	240
13	235
14	230
15	225
16	220
17	215
18	210
19	205
20	200
21	195
22	190
23	185
24	180
25	175
26	170
27	165
28	160
29	155
30	150
31	145
32	140
33	135
34	130
35	125
36	120
37	115
38	110
39	105
40	100
41	95
42	90
43	85
44	80
45	75
46	70
47	65
48	60
49	55
50	50
51	45
52	40
53	35
54	30
55	25
56	20
57	15
58	10
59	5
60+	0

Last Week (02/11/2013)

The last game was the last game to be played before hiatus, and my closest match was a tie between Afterglow and Wake Me Up with a 1 position difference. I didn't get the time to predict my closest and furthest matches. I got a total score of 10935.

Player Scores

Note: The scores and stats for the first game (trial) are not counted in the player stats.

Element	Hotchoc26
Games played	5
Total score (average per game)	55310 (11062)
Most points in one game	12200
Least points in one game	10935
Average points per prediction	110.62
Correct closest predictions	0
Correct furthest predictions	2
Counting Stars, p. 100, end 3 (19/10/2013)
Counting Stars, p. 98, end 1 (26/10/2013)
Exact matches	3
The Mother We Share [38] - 05/10/2013 Things We Lost In The Fire [50] - 12/10/2013 Earthquake [39] - 19/10/2013
Most matches in 1 week (average)	1 (0.4)
Furthest match	97 out - Counting Stars - 100-3 (19/10/2013), joint with Counting Stars - 98-1 (26/10/2013)
Closest predicted number one [furthest]	4 out (You Make Me, end 5 on week 05/10/2013) [84 out (Wanna Go, end 85 on week 19/10/2013)]
Closest predicted number 100 [furthest]	33 out (Started From The Bottom, end 67 on week 12/10/2013) [97 out (Counting Stars,end 3 on week 19/10/2013)
Furthest predicted number 50	TBA
Predicted number one dropouts	0

Week by Week

Week	Category	Hotchoc26
28/09/2013 (Trail run)	Total points	11470
	Correct matches	1 (Love Me Again at ?)
	Closest match	Burn and Lifted (out by 4)
	Furthest match	Lived A Lie and Hold On, We're Going Home (out by 88)
	Zero pointers	21
	Dropouts	22
	Biggest dropout	These Are The Songs (6)
	Closest dropout	All Star (98)
	Predicted closest match (outcome)	Take Back The Night (predicted 49, end 57, 8 positions out)
	Predicted furthest match (outcome)	These Are The Songs (dropout from 6) (correct)

Week	Category	Hotchoc26
05/10/13	Total points	12200
	Correct matches	1 (The Mother We Share [38])
	Closest match	N/A
	Furthest match	Counting Stars (93-3)
	Zero pointers	24
	Dropouts	22
	Biggest dropout	Everything Has Changed (4)
	Closest dropout	Red (98)
	Predicted closest match (outcome)	Applause - 14 (last week 15, end ?)
	Predicted furthest match (outcome)	Everything Has Changed - 4 (last week 100, end DROPOUT)

Week	Category	Hotchoc26
12/10/2013	Total points	10965
	Correct matches	1 (Things We Lost In The Fire [50])
	Closest match	N/A
	Furthest match	Thrift Shop (81 out [11-92]
	Zero pointers	24
	Dropouts	26
	Biggest dropout	From Time (7)
	Closest dropout	Bound 2 (91)
	Predicted closest match (outcome)	Can't Hold Us - 61 (last week 51, end 51)
	Predicted furthest match (outcome)	Just Give Me A Reason - 2 (last week 83, end 72)

Week	Category	Hotchoc26
19/10/2013	Total points	11105
	Correct matches	1 (Earthquake at 39)
	Closest match	N/A
	Furthest match	Counting Stars (97 out [100-3]
	Zero pointers	18
	Dropouts	23
	Biggest dropout	Grow Old With Me [5]
	Closest dropout	Sexy Lady [98]
	Predicted closest match (outcome)	Incorrect - Best Song Ever (44-49), ended at 48
	Predicted furthest match (outcome)	Correct - Counting Stars (97 out [100-3]

Week	Category	Hotchoc26
26/10/2013	Total points	10105
	Correct matches	0
	Closest match	Lost & Not Found (65-66)
	Furthest match	Counting Stars (98-1)
	Zero pointers	25
	Dropouts	19
	Biggest dropout	2. Trampoline
	Closest dropout	85. Could This Be Love
	Predicted closest match (outcome)	Berzerk (incorrect, 5-7)
	Predicted furthest match (outcome)	Counting Stars (correct)

Week	Category	Hotchoc26
02/11/2013	Total points	10935
	Correct matches	0
	Closest match	Afterglow and Wake Me Up (1 out)
	Furthest match	Antenna (81 out)
	Zero pointers	22
	Dropouts	27
	Biggest dropout	2. Thinking About You
	Closest dropout	99. You Wanna Know
	Predicted closest match (outcome)	-
	Predicted furthest match (outcome)	-

Week	Category	Hotchoc26
Template	Total points
	Correct matches
	Closest match
	Furthest match
	Zero pointers
	Dropouts
	Biggest dropout
	Closest dropout
	Predicted closest match (outcome)
	Predicted furthest match (outcome)